The contribution of family planning towards the prevention of vertical HIV transmission in Uganda.
BACKGROUND: Uganda has one of the highest total fertility rates (TFR) worldwide. We compared the effects of antiretroviral (ARV) prophylaxis for the prevention of mother-to-child HIV transmission (PMTCT) to that of existing family planning (FP) use and estimated the burden of pediatric HIV disease d...
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doaj-15026c75f1bd42ddb6c0e81e25cd42e32020-11-25T01:57:54ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032009-01-01411e769110.1371/journal.pone.0007691The contribution of family planning towards the prevention of vertical HIV transmission in Uganda.Wolfgang HladikJohn StoverGodfrey EsiruMalayah HarperJordan TapperoBACKGROUND: Uganda has one of the highest total fertility rates (TFR) worldwide. We compared the effects of antiretroviral (ARV) prophylaxis for the prevention of mother-to-child HIV transmission (PMTCT) to that of existing family planning (FP) use and estimated the burden of pediatric HIV disease due to unwanted fertility. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Using the demographic software Spectrum, a baseline mathematical projection to estimate the current pediatric HIV burden in Uganda was compared to three hypothetical projections: 1) without ARV-PMTCT (to estimate the effect of ARV-PMTCT), 2) without contraception (effect of existing FP use), 3) without unwanted fertility (effect of unmet FP needs). Key input parameters included HIV prevalence, ARV-PMTCT uptake, MTCT probabilities, and TFR. We estimate that in 2007, an estimated 25,000 vertical infections and 17,000 pediatric AIDS deaths occurred (baseline projection). Existing ARV-PMTCT likely averted 8.1% of infections and 8.5% of deaths. FP use likely averted 19.7% of infections and 13.1% of deaths. Unwanted fertility accounted for 21.3% of infections and 13.4% of deaths. During 2008-2012, an estimated 131,000 vertical infections and 71,000 pediatric AIDS deaths will occur. The projected scale up of ARV-PMTCT (from 39%-57%) may avert 18.1% of infections and 24.5% of deaths. Projected FP use may avert 21.6% of infections and 18.5% of deaths. Unwanted fertility will account for 24.5% of infections and 19.8% of deaths. CONCLUSIONS: Existing FP use contributes as much or more than ARV-PMTCT in mitigating pediatric HIV in Uganda. Expanding FP services can substantially contribute towards PMTCT.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC2766039?pdf=render |
collection |
DOAJ |
language |
English |
format |
Article |
sources |
DOAJ |
author |
Wolfgang Hladik John Stover Godfrey Esiru Malayah Harper Jordan Tappero |
spellingShingle |
Wolfgang Hladik John Stover Godfrey Esiru Malayah Harper Jordan Tappero The contribution of family planning towards the prevention of vertical HIV transmission in Uganda. PLoS ONE |
author_facet |
Wolfgang Hladik John Stover Godfrey Esiru Malayah Harper Jordan Tappero |
author_sort |
Wolfgang Hladik |
title |
The contribution of family planning towards the prevention of vertical HIV transmission in Uganda. |
title_short |
The contribution of family planning towards the prevention of vertical HIV transmission in Uganda. |
title_full |
The contribution of family planning towards the prevention of vertical HIV transmission in Uganda. |
title_fullStr |
The contribution of family planning towards the prevention of vertical HIV transmission in Uganda. |
title_full_unstemmed |
The contribution of family planning towards the prevention of vertical HIV transmission in Uganda. |
title_sort |
contribution of family planning towards the prevention of vertical hiv transmission in uganda. |
publisher |
Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
series |
PLoS ONE |
issn |
1932-6203 |
publishDate |
2009-01-01 |
description |
BACKGROUND: Uganda has one of the highest total fertility rates (TFR) worldwide. We compared the effects of antiretroviral (ARV) prophylaxis for the prevention of mother-to-child HIV transmission (PMTCT) to that of existing family planning (FP) use and estimated the burden of pediatric HIV disease due to unwanted fertility. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Using the demographic software Spectrum, a baseline mathematical projection to estimate the current pediatric HIV burden in Uganda was compared to three hypothetical projections: 1) without ARV-PMTCT (to estimate the effect of ARV-PMTCT), 2) without contraception (effect of existing FP use), 3) without unwanted fertility (effect of unmet FP needs). Key input parameters included HIV prevalence, ARV-PMTCT uptake, MTCT probabilities, and TFR. We estimate that in 2007, an estimated 25,000 vertical infections and 17,000 pediatric AIDS deaths occurred (baseline projection). Existing ARV-PMTCT likely averted 8.1% of infections and 8.5% of deaths. FP use likely averted 19.7% of infections and 13.1% of deaths. Unwanted fertility accounted for 21.3% of infections and 13.4% of deaths. During 2008-2012, an estimated 131,000 vertical infections and 71,000 pediatric AIDS deaths will occur. The projected scale up of ARV-PMTCT (from 39%-57%) may avert 18.1% of infections and 24.5% of deaths. Projected FP use may avert 21.6% of infections and 18.5% of deaths. Unwanted fertility will account for 24.5% of infections and 19.8% of deaths. CONCLUSIONS: Existing FP use contributes as much or more than ARV-PMTCT in mitigating pediatric HIV in Uganda. Expanding FP services can substantially contribute towards PMTCT. |
url |
http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC2766039?pdf=render |
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