Response to Johnson: A random sample versus the radical event

Timothy Johnson’s working hypothesis in his review of my latest book, The Medium of Contingency, is that I (as well as the ‘quants’ involved in the derivative pricing industry) do not understand the foundations of abstract probability theory. In this response, I show that this is not the case. On th...

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Main Author: Elie Ayache
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Edinburgh 2016-12-01
Series:Finance and Society
Online Access:http://financeandsociety.ed.ac.uk/article/view/1734
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spelling doaj-14fdac0bbd78498b9581c7bbad27b89f2020-11-25T02:32:03ZengUniversity of EdinburghFinance and Society2059-59992016-12-01222051610.2218/finsoc.v2i2.17341734Response to Johnson: A random sample versus the radical eventElie Ayache0ITO 33, ParisTimothy Johnson’s working hypothesis in his review of my latest book, The Medium of Contingency, is that I (as well as the ‘quants’ involved in the derivative pricing industry) do not understand the foundations of abstract probability theory. In this response, I show that this is not the case. On the contrary, rules and protocols which are common in the derivative pricing industry, the result of which can be an extension of abstract probability theory as it now stands, seem to elude Johnson. To address these failings, I provide theoretical reflections on probability theory and its formalisms.http://financeandsociety.ed.ac.uk/article/view/1734
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Elie Ayache
spellingShingle Elie Ayache
Response to Johnson: A random sample versus the radical event
Finance and Society
author_facet Elie Ayache
author_sort Elie Ayache
title Response to Johnson: A random sample versus the radical event
title_short Response to Johnson: A random sample versus the radical event
title_full Response to Johnson: A random sample versus the radical event
title_fullStr Response to Johnson: A random sample versus the radical event
title_full_unstemmed Response to Johnson: A random sample versus the radical event
title_sort response to johnson: a random sample versus the radical event
publisher University of Edinburgh
series Finance and Society
issn 2059-5999
publishDate 2016-12-01
description Timothy Johnson’s working hypothesis in his review of my latest book, The Medium of Contingency, is that I (as well as the ‘quants’ involved in the derivative pricing industry) do not understand the foundations of abstract probability theory. In this response, I show that this is not the case. On the contrary, rules and protocols which are common in the derivative pricing industry, the result of which can be an extension of abstract probability theory as it now stands, seem to elude Johnson. To address these failings, I provide theoretical reflections on probability theory and its formalisms.
url http://financeandsociety.ed.ac.uk/article/view/1734
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