Reducing Perceived Urban Rail Transfer Time with Ordinal Logistic Regressions

• Main Authors: Xuesong Feng, Weixin Hua, Xuepeng Qian
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: University of Zagreb, Faculty of Transport and Traffic Sciences 2019-10-01
• Series: Promet (Zagreb)
• Subjects: perceived transfer time; perceived transfer waiting time; ordinal logistic regression model; urban rail transit service improvement
• Online Access: https://traffic.fpz.hr/index.php/PROMTT/article/view/3161
• ISSN: 0353-5320; 1848-4069

In order to improve the transfers inside an Urban Rail Transit (URT) station between different rail transit lines, this research newly develops two Ordinal Logistic Regression (OLR) models to explore effective ways for saving the Perceived Transfer Time (PTT) of URT passengers, taking into account the difficulty of improving the transfer infrastructure. It is validated that the new OLR models are able to rationally explain probabilistically the correlations between PTT and its determinants. Moreover, the modelling analyses in this work have found that PTT will be effectively decreased if the severe transfer walking congestion is released to be acceptable. Furthermore, the congestion on the platform should be completely eliminated for the evident reduction of PTT. In addition, decreasing the actual transfer waiting time of the URT passengers to less than 5 minutes will obviously decrease PTT.