Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty
Future projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate based on climate model simulations substantially underestimate the uncertainty that originates from large-scale atmospheric circulation variability, suggest synthetic ensemble projections constrained with observations.
Main Authors: | Christopher H. O’Reilly, Daniel J. Befort, Antje Weisheimer, Tim Woollings, Andrew Ballinger, Gabriele Hegerl |
---|---|
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Nature
2021-09-01
|
Series: | Communications Earth & Environment |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00268-7 |
Similar Items
-
Empirically derived climate predictability over the extratropical northern hemisphere
by: J. B. Elsner, et al.
Published: (1994-01-01) -
Diagnostic studies of extratropical intraseasonal variability in the northern hemisphere
by: Robinson, Dennis P.
Published: (2006) -
Calibrating large-ensemble European climate projections using observational data
by: C. H. O'Reilly, et al.
Published: (2020-11-01) -
Persistent anomalies of the extratropical Northern Hemisphere wintertime circulation
by: Dole, Randall M
Published: (2010) -
Using data assimilation to study extratropical Northern Hemisphere climate over the last millennium
by: M. Widmann, et al.
Published: (2010-09-01)