Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty

Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty

Future projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate based on climate model simulations substantially underestimate the uncertainty that originates from large-scale atmospheric circulation variability, suggest synthetic ensemble projections constrained with observations.

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Christopher H. O’Reilly, Daniel J. Befort, Antje Weisheimer, Tim Woollings, Andrew Ballinger, Gabriele Hegerl
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature 2021-09-01
Series:Communications Earth & Environment
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00268-7
Description
Summary:Future projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate based on climate model simulations substantially underestimate the uncertainty that originates from large-scale atmospheric circulation variability, suggest synthetic ensemble projections constrained with observations.
ISSN:2662-4435

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