Do US consumer survey data help beat the random walk in forecasting mortgage rates?
In line with term structure theory, empirical studies suggest that it is difficult to beat the random walk in forecasting long-term interest rates. We ask whether consumer survey data on both mortgage interest rates and expected inflation help beat the random walk in forecasting the 30-year fixed ra...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Taylor & Francis Group
2017-01-01
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| Series: | Cogent Economics & Finance |
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| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2017.1343017 |