Linking “Micro” to “Macro” Models of State Breakdown to Improve Methods for Political Forecasting
Three predictive problems bedevil our ability to foresee political crises and state breakdown: (1) how to tell when a previously stable state falls into a situation of hidden but dangerous instability; (2) how to tell, once a certain level of instability has appeared in the form of protests, riots,...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
eScholarship Publishing, University of California
2017-12-01
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| Series: | Cliodynamics |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://escholarship.org/uc/item/1xt9k875 |