A fine-grained analysis of the jumping-to-conclusions bias in schizophrenia

• Main Authors: Steffen Moritz, Andreas Gloeckner
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: Society for Judgment and Decision Making 2009-12-01
• Series: Judgment and Decision Making
• Subjects: decision making; schizophrenia; jumping to conclusions; heuristics.NAKeywords
• Online Access: http://journal.sjdm.org/9901/jdm9901.pdf

Impaired decision behavior has been repeatedly observed in schizophrenia patients. We investigated several cognitive mechanisms that might contribute to the jumping-to-conclusions bias (JTC) seen in schizophrenia patients: biases in information-gathering, information weighting and integration, and overconfidence, using the process tracing paradigm Mouselab. Mouselab allows for an in-depth exploration of various decision-making processes in a structured information environment. A total of 37 schizophrenia patients and 30 healthy controls participated in the experiment. Although showing less focused and systematic information search, schizophrenia patients practically considered all pieces of information and showed no JTC in the sense of collecting less pieces of evidence. Choices of patients and controls both approximated a rational solution quite well, but patients showed more extreme confidence ratings. Both groups mainly used weighted additive decision strategies for information integration and only a small proportion relied on simple heuristics. Under high stress induced by affective valence plus time pressure, however, schizophrenia patients switched to equal weighting strategies: less valid cues and more valid ones were weighted equally.