Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control
The COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated the need for non-pharmaceutical epidemic mitigation strategies that can be effective even if they are limited in duration. Here, the authors derive analytically optimal and near-optimal time-limited strategies for limiting the epidemic peak in the Susceptible-I...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Nature Publishing Group
2021-04-01
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| Series: | Communications Physics |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s42005-021-00570-y |
| Summary: | The COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated the need for non-pharmaceutical epidemic mitigation strategies that can be effective even if they are limited in duration. Here, the authors derive analytically optimal and near-optimal time-limited strategies for limiting the epidemic peak in the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered model and show that, due to the sensitivity of such strategies to implementation errors, timely action is fundamental to non-pharmaceutical disease control. |
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| ISSN: | 2399-3650 |