Sequential and simultaneous multiple explanation

• Main Authors: Robert Litchfield, Jinyan Fan
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: Society for Judgment and Decision Making 2007-02-01
• Series: Judgment and Decision Making
• Subjects: explanation; alternative consideration; scenarioplanning; debiasing.
• Online Access: http://journal.sjdm.org/jdm06141.pdf

This paper reports two experiments comparing variants of multiple explanation applied in the early stages of a judgment task (a case involving employee theft) where participants are not given a menu of response options. Because prior research has focused on situations where response options are provided to judges, we identify relevant dependent variables that an intervention might affect when such options are not given. We use these variables to build a causal model of intervention that illustrates both the intended effects of multiple explanation and some potentially competing processes that it may trigger. Although multiple explanation clearly conveys some benefits (e.g., willingness to delay action to engage in information search, increased detail, quality and confidence in alternative explanations) in the present experiments, we also found evidence that it may initiate or enhance processes that attenuate its advantages (e.g., feelings that one does not need more data if one has multiple good explanations).