Atmospheric Cascades Shape Wildfire Activity and Fire Management Decision Spaces Across Scales − A Conceptual Framework for Fire Prediction

This study uses an interdisciplinary approach to investigate variability in fire weather, fire activity and fire management decision spaces in western Canada from three separate perspectives. We used time series analysis to identify periodic and quasi-periodic components of fire weather measures at...

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Main Author: S. W. Taylor
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-10-01
Series:Frontiers in Environmental Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2020.527278/full
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spelling doaj-03a066114cb34b7781df6a8a76f7834c2020-11-25T03:56:46ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Environmental Science2296-665X2020-10-01810.3389/fenvs.2020.527278527278Atmospheric Cascades Shape Wildfire Activity and Fire Management Decision Spaces Across Scales − A Conceptual Framework for Fire PredictionS. W. TaylorThis study uses an interdisciplinary approach to investigate variability in fire weather, fire activity and fire management decision spaces in western Canada from three separate perspectives. We used time series analysis to identify periodic and quasi-periodic components of fire weather measures at second, hourly, daily, yearly, and multi-decadal resolution in 3 ecozones. Examples of relationships between scales of fire weather and fire activity were taken from the literature. Through interviews with and observation of Canadian wildland fire management agencies we identified 20 typical decision problems which we mapped to 16 spatio-temporally cohesive decision spaces extending from incident to national levels and immediate to multi-decadal time spans. To connect these domains, we propose that space time cascades of atmospheric kinetic energy are reflected in an inverse cascade of wildfire activity, and shape the spatio-temporal dimensions of decision spaces and the pace of fire management decisions.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2020.527278/fullfire weatherfire managementdecision makingspectral analysisscale
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author S. W. Taylor
spellingShingle S. W. Taylor
Atmospheric Cascades Shape Wildfire Activity and Fire Management Decision Spaces Across Scales − A Conceptual Framework for Fire Prediction
Frontiers in Environmental Science
fire weather
fire management
decision making
spectral analysis
scale
author_facet S. W. Taylor
author_sort S. W. Taylor
title Atmospheric Cascades Shape Wildfire Activity and Fire Management Decision Spaces Across Scales − A Conceptual Framework for Fire Prediction
title_short Atmospheric Cascades Shape Wildfire Activity and Fire Management Decision Spaces Across Scales − A Conceptual Framework for Fire Prediction
title_full Atmospheric Cascades Shape Wildfire Activity and Fire Management Decision Spaces Across Scales − A Conceptual Framework for Fire Prediction
title_fullStr Atmospheric Cascades Shape Wildfire Activity and Fire Management Decision Spaces Across Scales − A Conceptual Framework for Fire Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Atmospheric Cascades Shape Wildfire Activity and Fire Management Decision Spaces Across Scales − A Conceptual Framework for Fire Prediction
title_sort atmospheric cascades shape wildfire activity and fire management decision spaces across scales − a conceptual framework for fire prediction
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
series Frontiers in Environmental Science
issn 2296-665X
publishDate 2020-10-01
description This study uses an interdisciplinary approach to investigate variability in fire weather, fire activity and fire management decision spaces in western Canada from three separate perspectives. We used time series analysis to identify periodic and quasi-periodic components of fire weather measures at second, hourly, daily, yearly, and multi-decadal resolution in 3 ecozones. Examples of relationships between scales of fire weather and fire activity were taken from the literature. Through interviews with and observation of Canadian wildland fire management agencies we identified 20 typical decision problems which we mapped to 16 spatio-temporally cohesive decision spaces extending from incident to national levels and immediate to multi-decadal time spans. To connect these domains, we propose that space time cascades of atmospheric kinetic energy are reflected in an inverse cascade of wildfire activity, and shape the spatio-temporal dimensions of decision spaces and the pace of fire management decisions.
topic fire weather
fire management
decision making
spectral analysis
scale
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2020.527278/full
work_keys_str_mv AT swtaylor atmosphericcascadesshapewildfireactivityandfiremanagementdecisionspacesacrossscalesaconceptualframeworkforfireprediction
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