Excedentes petroleros en el crecimiento de México: una aplicación la técnica shift-share 2003-2004

• Main Author: Danae Duana Ávila
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: Konrad Lorenz Fundación Universitaria 2010-11-01
• Series: Suma de Negocios
• Subjects: Oil; region; growth; technical; competitive advantage
• Online Access: http://publicaciones.konradlorenz.edu.co/index.php/SumaDeNegocios/article/view/652

In México the main inter-regional inequalities are geographical, social and economic -that is, there are factors that help us classify the regions,this requires the use of certain criteria, because there are no satisfactory methods according to the study of regional economists like Williamson of Perroux. Objective: To determine the impact exerted by the contribution of oil over state GDP growth 2003-2004 for the States of entities: State of Mexico and Nuevo León, considering the characteristics them registering the largest regional and urban development. Also the states of Campeche and Tabasco, assuming their competitive advantages and that have oil is a resource that drives economic growth in each, with Campeche being the leading producer of crude oil and Tabasco the second in the same area. Methodology: The Shift-Share technique, which has been applied traditionally to explain the influence of different components - oil in this case- in the change experienced by a magnitude. Findings: Oil surpluses distributed to federal entities through the FIES distorts the dynamics of the states economy considering the influence exerted by every constituting effect. Nonetheless, the global outlook in most sectors (EPC) shows a negative effect on the states economy tendencies. The importance of the states GDP performance for such entities adds in the end to the result that benefits or impoverishes their economic structure.