study of iran housing market downturn and the ways of escaping it using system dynamics

• Main Authors: Hamed dehghan, Reza ramazani
• Format: Article
• Language: fas
• Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2019-07-01
• Series: Muṭāli̒āt-i Mudīriyyat-i Ṣan̒atī
• Subjects: housing recession the housing cycle system dynamics system analysis
• Online Access: http://jims.atu.ac.ir/article_10096_adc2b2a5367ac934621ae350f5aad901.pdf

Land and housing economy have a large proportion of the whole economy and play an important role in the cultural, economic and social community. In all parts of the world, land and houses make a large share of its assets and the proper management of these resources can help country’s economy grow. The housing sector in Iran has faced many problems. Low purchasing power of costumers, price bubble especially in big cities, intense cycles in supply and demand and less on the market for mortgage or rent, more supply than demand and many unfinished projects are examples of problems in the field. In this paper, after explaining the current problems, causal loop diagram and then stock-flow model is presented. After validation of the model, the proposed policies are presented based on model structure and relationships. Presented policies reduce the severity of future cycles and improve equilibrium between supply and demand sectors and help linear and continuous presence of the buyer.